For The NDP Federal Leadership….
?
A while back I wrote that Thomas Mulcair was not likely to win despite his early lead in the polls. Those polls today suggest the he is virtually assured the win. But … I still cannot bring myself to belief the NDP would willingly commit suicide by voting for him.
The Party risks being defined in the next four years as Bloc Lite and with Mulcair at the helm – I believe this designation will become inevitable. But that appears to be where things are headed for Canada’s Official Opposition.
In my earlier essay I suggested that the best chance for the NDP to retain respectability would be through voting in Paul Dewar but I gave his chances of such a win at no better than 20%. Those chances have now bottomed out at nil.
Dewar – to be effective, needed a Deputy Party Leader from Quebec, if for no other reason than most of his caucus hails from that province. But Dewar, suffering from what best can be described as a death wish, chose – in advance of the vote – Northern Ontario MP Charlie Angus. Imagine, he expects NDP voters to endorse as their 1 – 2 Leadership – 2 Ontarians. It is to laugh.
So where does that leave us. Mulcair if the polls are correct but I still think when the pressure is on – the average NDP voter will refrain from placing an X beside his name.
Rather, I suspect that the majority of their Xs will go to Peggy Nash. She too has a major flaw – she represents a Toronto riding – which in the scheme of things is viewed even less favourably than Dewar’s Ottawa. But she has been prudent in not announcing a deputy from Ontario.
So you heard it here first – on March 24, Peggy Nash by a nose
As I see it…
‘K.D. Galagher’
