Prime Minister Justin Trudeau Reduced To Minority Status & The Young Woman At The Back Of The Room

Okay, let's take a look at how the Trudeau Liberals went from Majority Status to Minority Status in last month's Canadian Federal Election and what this means for him in the days and months ahead.

Let's begin by noting that the Election Results were not the least bit surprising since the Liberal policies and stumbles over his 4 year term of Majority Government were disastrous as evidenced by the following:  he reneged on his promise to reform the Electoral Process; he introduced the very unpopular Carbon Tax; and related to that, was anti-oil- pipeline, he interfered with Canada's Judicial System when, behind close doors, he came to the aid of a company by the name of Lavelin...based in Quebec and successfully charged in the past with illicit business practices including bribery; he dumped two his most popular female Members of Parliament both of whom had been shining stars in his Cabinet; he was the hapless subject of the Kokanee Grope (for you non-Canadians who do not have a clue what that all entails I urge you to look it up on-line); and of course he admitted during the recent campaign that he has worn 'black-face' at least 3 times in the past.

There is more I could include but the ones mentioned are, I believe, sufficient to show why the Canadian Electorate punished Trudeau by taking away his Majority.

I see a hand up at the back - yes, the Young Lady in the Mauve Shirt has a question.

Not a question per se but rather a comment....What you have said is simply not true, Trudeau was brought down by the Province of Quebec voting in 37 Separatists to the BLOC Quebec Party.

You make an excellent point, indeed when I think about it, the Bloc won only 10 seats in the previous election so in this past election they won 27 more and if Trudeau had secured those seats, as many thought he would, he would have easily maintained his Majority Government. (There are 338 seats or members in Canada's new Parliament, the Liberals took 157 Liberal, and if they had won another 27 in Quebec, it would have given him 184 seats whereas he only needed 170 for a Majority.)

But permit me to ask the young lady in the back if any of the failures I noted had a negative influence on the Quebec Voters who voted for the Bloc rather than traditionally voting Liberal?

Not at all, what was at issue was Quebec's notorious Bill 21 which discriminates against the public wearing of any religious symbols such as a cross, yarmulke or hijab including while working in government jobs.  Polling shows that up to 70% of Quebecois' support this most discriminatory law and quite correctly although none of the federal parties came out in support  of the Bill, save for the Bloc.  Sadly none came out strongly or vocally enough against it either.  

Good Point.

Okay so let's now get back to the subject at hand namely, what does this new Minority Status have in store for the Governing Liberals.

Well first and foremost it means, as in the past, that the Trudeau Government is not likely to survive more than 18 months...2 years at the most, before the other parties gang up and bring it down with their superior numbers.  Remember , the numbers we are dealing with - 338 seats in the House, less 157 held by the Liberals, leaves 181 outstanding against them.  That 181 can come together any time they want to force the Trudeau Liberal's out of Office but they will likely hold off a year or two before they do, as is per convention (i.e it takes any Party time to gear up for another Election).

Oh, Oh, I see the Young Woman's hand up again.  You have another point you wish to raise?

Yes I do, but I don't think you are going to like it.  I say that because what you have just said is also wrong.  I agree with you that usually minority governments last but a short time but this time Trudeau can count on his mandate lasting at least 3 years and even up to 4 years... the latter being the expiry of his term.   I say that because the Progressives Parties in the House, which include the Liberals, are not about to bring a fellow Progressive Party down.  The Progressive majority is but a reflection of Canadian Society itself which is 65 to 70 per cent of that persuasion.

Well thank you again for that; I must admit that you once again make good sense.  So given what you have just said, we can safely assume that Canada will not be plunged into another General Election for the next several years.

Hardly, since just because the Liberals will not be forced into an early Election does not for a minute mean that there will not be one.  In the best traditions of the former Liberal Prime Minister Chretien, Trudeau himself will be looking hard for an opportunity to pull the plug...and by that I mean, if the Polls show him that he can likely win back a Majority he will be on it like fleas on a dog, so to speak regardless of the timing.

I get the feeling young lady that you and I should trade places since it appears to me that you have this all figured out and for the life of me, I cannot see where you are wrong.

As I See It, 

K.D. Bell






Q

#s of seats before and after....??

I'm Back: 3 Heart Stoppages Later and since my last Blog on 21.06.19, Donald Trump still commands the News.

You read that correctly, I had 3 heart stoppages over the course of this past July and August and have been in the hospital close to 6 weeks and owe my life to my son Scott and to our good friend Kristen ...a CPR Instructor and to the health care teams at the Bomanville and Oshawa Hospitals and to the renowned Heart Institute in Ottawa.

Thank you everyone!!

Now back to Trump and the latest... the Impeachment Inquiry.

But first, let me remind everyone that the story surrounding the Donald back in June was the Mueller investigation about purported Russian Influence in the 2016 Presidential Election.  Fortunately for Trump, and no surprise to me, it all came to naught.

So the Dems are now coming at Him in a different way ...via the Impeachment Process.  Again another bogus, hollow claim that will hurt the Democrats far more than the Republicans.

That said, I am not a Trump fan indeed I believe the guy has been a disaster - his Trade Tantrums, Isolationists Views, and treating US Friends like Dirt while Praising the Bullies and the Dictators.

The only thing I support him on is with respect to The Wall - a country that cannot control the inflow of illegal refugees is not a country within the meaning of the Webster Dictionary.

So I fully agree with those who believe that for the sake of all, the Trumper needs to go !

But the fly in the ointment is the fact that there is no one and I mean no one on the scene who has the needed qualities to replace him. Much like our Election in October, Justin Trudeau got in because there were no viable alternatives.

What complicates the situation in the States is the fact that it is split right down the middle - Conservatives on the Right and Progressives on the Left...50/50.  There are too few Moderates in the Middle which likely means that when the Dems stop their infighting, their numbers for next November's Presidential Election will be reduced enough to allow the Donald another four years in office.

Quelle Dommage you might say to which I would respond ...Yes and No.

The fact of the matter is regardless of what a disaster Trump has been in Office, he does not deserve the Treatment he has received from the Progressive and more to the point, from the Left Wing Media.

But permit me to restate that:   Democracy does not deserve the treatment it has received...

With the Ballots barely dry from the November 2016 Election, the Left Wing Media and Progressives combined to try to destroy the Presidency with any and all means possible.  Simply stated, they could not stomach the outcome and were and continue to be determined to nullify what the Electorate had wrought.

The Progressive Left has done such a great job of this that I truly believe American Politics will never be the same in our lifetime.  It used to be that when a Party was unsuccessful at the polls, their numbers would roll up their sleeves and undertake publicly that their Party would do better next time.  Not anymore.

Now back specifically to the current Impeachment fiasco.

It purports to be about the President's conversation with the Head of Ukraine and Trump's alleged blackmail of the latter to get the 'goods' on a son of Democratic Contender Joe Biden.  Biden's son, it is claimed by some, was involved in shady busy practices that took place in the Ukraine.

To which I respond so what.  The Dems have already admitted to having done similar investigations against Trump with Russia and besides, I fervently believe the President, as the highest politico in the world, should be able to count on his conversations with other world leaders being confidential.  I heard it said that in a meeting with Putin, Trump is alleged to have said, 'dear Vladimir don't worry if Russian interfered with our 2016 Election since our Country is the world's worse offender by far'  and of course he is right.  A most recent case in point is our October Election just past where Liberal heavies have stated publicly that without former President Obama's intervention on their candidates behalf they would not have one.  Not a word of criticism from the Left Wing Media or America's Progressives.

It is all nonsense with the danger that it will only serves to help Donald Trump win another 4 years in office - which again is not what I personally want to see happen.

But what makes this all so futile is the fact that in order to complete a successful Impeachment it requires a two-thirds vote in the Senate, a body which consists of a majority of Republicans so the chances if such happening range from nil to not likely.

And one last comment.  It was not long ago that a President...Bill Clinton... was deservedly Impeached in the House of Representatives but it failed in the Senate.  His crime, he had sex, despite his denial of same, in Oval Office with a vulnerable intern.  I still can hear his words these many years later, as I suspect you can too - "I did not have sex with that woman".  He threw her under the bus all the while Dear President Clinton being a card carrying Democrat.

That was where a charge of Impeachment was warranted:  not though in the case at hand.

As I See It, 

K.D. Bell